I've tried to avoid posting particular hands, and focusing more on the "broad" topic of poker, and poker stories. But now I have a hand that has really been bothering me. And, no Chuck, it's not a bad beat story.
I say it's not a bad beat story, it may however be a bad beat, I'm actually not sure. And that is the subject of this post. I want feedback!
The game is $3-$6 Omaha Hi Lo at Ameristar. Pretty soft game, I must say.
I'm on the kill, so I'm commited for $6 preflop. 3 players call, and I check.
I have: 7h 8d Ks Qs
The flop is:
5s 6h 9d
I flop the nut straight on a rainbow board.
Small Blind bets out. I know hes betting A-2. I don't want to drive the other two out, so i just call. The guy behind me raises. Player 4 folds, and the original bettor calls. I decide to call, just to see what happens on turn. The guy behind me is pretty tight. I actually put him on 7-8 as well, but with a low. So i don't wanna get killed when i get quartered. I'm thinking i was wrong here, lol.
So the turn comes the Js.
The board reads: 5s 6h 9d Js
NOW, i have the nuts, with a gut shot to the 10 for the "new" nuts, AND second nut backdoor spades. I'm LOVING my hand.
Small Blind checks, I check, guy bets, SB calls, NOW I check raise. Guy 3 bets, and SB goes all in for whatever it was. I cap it, he calls.
River blows ass! 5d. Not only do i miss both my new draws, it pairs the board. No big deal though, i put him on 7-8 with me, at least the low didn't get there.
I just check, i don't get raised unless he can beat me, so there's no point in betting. We are either chopping, or I'm losing.
Yup, he filled up. But here's the thing...
His hand: 6d 6c As 2s
He flopped a set with the nut low draw. Turned the NUT flush draw, crushing my K high spades, and rivered a full house.
Was my play profitable at all? I mean, i think i played it alright, not knowing what he had, but if the cards were face up, what should i have done? I had no shot at a low, he had the nut low. And he had the spade re-draw with his full house draw.
The way i see it is, he had 14 outs for the WHOLE pot and 10 more to chop. 14 outs counts the 2 spades in my hand and 10 takes into account the spades hes drawing at for the flush, and the 7-8 in my hand. So in other words, he has 24 LIVE outs for at least half the pot. In his mind, he has like 28 outs for half.
I think i just got a nose bleed from trying to figure all that shit out. God I love this game!
Anyway, if you can give me your views/opinions, I'd appreciate them. Thanks.
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- brkawy_7
- Im 26 years old, and live in the St Louis area. i play a lot of poker, and always trying to learn more about the game.
8 comments:
You're 50-50 on the turn and 63% for the high. 40 cards left in the deck and you win the high with 25 of them. He wins with 10 board-pairing cards and the 5 (7-2) spades that are left that aren't pairs. That sounds a lot like 40-15=25 to me.
He gets a bunch of the low which makes it 50-50. You're 44% on the flop.
http://twodimes.net/h/?z=2564486
Stick to limit, genius. :)
One of those situations where your play is fine, but things just didn't go your way... I'd of lost more than you did, I gaurantee.
Major
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